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Mike.Gibson
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Re: Work Available

Thanks, Mark.
[Aug 26, 2021 2:55:15 PM]   Link   Report threatening or abusive post: please login first  Go to top 
Mike.Gibson
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Re: Work Available

Generation 084 is now priority.

Mike
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MJH333
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Re: Work Available

Mike,
That’s odd, I received an 084_1 at 05:47 this morning (28 August) with the non-priority deadline. It was created at 04:51.

Mark
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Mike.Gibson
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Re: Work Available

My mistake. I read the wrong line.

Mike
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MJH333
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Re: Work Available

Hi Mike
084 is now priority and has been since at least 16:50 yesterday (30 August).
Cheers
Mark
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Mike.Gibson
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Re: Work Available

Thanks, Mark.

Pity that Kevin seems to have stopped his updates.

Mike
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MJH333
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Re: Work Available

Mike,

Yes, the updates were very interesting.

By the way, I got my first 091 this afternoon.

Mark
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Mike.Gibson
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Re: Work Available

Thank you.

I should have a few minutes to spare over the next few days, so will produce a new spreadsheet to forecast the end of ARP based on Kevin's last data and the results returned since then. I initially predicted the end of October 2022 on that basis.

Mike
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Mike.Gibson
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Re: Work Available

As at 18 August there were 3,538,221 units to complete generation 182 which is assumed to be the end of ARP1.

Based on the results returned, there are now 3,420,581.

On the basis of 2 results per unit, the average over the last 10 days has been 8409.75 units.

This would mean an end date of 11 October 2022. However, this would require for there not to be a tail off at the end, which is highly unlikely as all projects have a tail off at the end and ARP1 is more likely to tail off because of the stragglers. That is not referring to the current stragglers but to those units from the last few generations at the end.

This also does not allow for invalid results or errors.

I expect the end to be nearer to the end of 2022.

I will try to update this weekly or whenever Kevin might update us with the stragglers.

Mike
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MJH333
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Re: Work Available

Thanks Mike. I’ve now started getting 092s.
Cheers
Mark
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