I have recently learned the following information from WCG and still believe there is no calculable end date. However I will still attempt to track the progress as it occurs. A big thanks to the WCG staff for making this available. I have decided to leave the original quote in for the time being as it still addresses the question of additional work. In the recent past an additional estimate of 4000 more batches were added.

Last 30 day average results:639,138
Percentage Complete:Currently listed on the Research page:60%. It seems to have progressed at a rate of about 1% per week, but my figures are now a bit out of sync with the Research page, but it is getting closer. I now show 59.6% complete. For the time being I will leave my estimate at 1.26 billion work units and will adjust as necessary to return to sync with the Research page.
The average length of a WU is currently running about 4.21 hours, slightly longer than the last time I posted, but continuing to trend steady at around the 4.1 to 4.2 hour mark consistently. The average length of a work unit this past week varied between 4.07 and 4.21 hours. This continues to be remarkably steady.
Still have not seen any of the batches from 122278 to 122402. The ovarian units started with 122403 as the lowest number.My latest batch number was 137690 which would give about 207 batches for the week. The batch count for last week was 205.
Production decreased this past week going from about 4.57million WU's to 4.26 million WU's completed. During this past week the time devoted to MCM1 was just slightly over an average of 288 years per day, down somewhat from the past week's 301.
Originally we had 17,500 batches plus 9000 more batches, plus 5000 more batches (all approximate) for a total of 31,500 batches. Now we have an estimated 4000 more batches for a total of 35,500 batches. As of today(October 29) we have processed 753,108,565 units. This would be about 59.8% of the known work units.
Based on the 30 day running average the current work units should last to about January 2020 (very close to my last estimate). When looking this far into the future the crystal ball gets very hazy. This not an end of project projection, just a projection of a probable end of the current (maybe) known work units. I am trying to calculate a couple of different ways to try to get some figures which converge to about the same. At any rate, there should be a couple of years left to crunch on this project.


Cheers

Thanks as always for the update Sgt. Joe!

Thinking about what you mentioned some time ago on suggestions about what more to track about the project....It would be great to have a chart maybe, that shows if the project is accelerating och decelerating with respect to calendar time? Like, for every calendar week that has passed, did the project progress towards the currently known end in sync (that is, end date has remained the same after that passing week) or moved closer/farther away?

So, perhaps plotting the change in currently projected completion date as a function of calendar time? If I'm not mistaken. So that the plot would have a straight horizontal line in case the project is "in-phase" with calendar time, and turn downwards/upwards in case we are accelerating/decelerating towards the currently projected end date.

Yay, awesome, thanks for looking into it if you get the chance to do so!

I have recently learned the following information from WCG and still believe there is no calculable end date. However I will still attempt to track the progress as it occurs. A big thanks to the WCG staff for making this available. I have decided to leave the original quote in for the time being as it still addresses the question of additional work. In the recent past an additional estimate of 4000 more batches were added.
Last 30 day average results:610,996
Percentage Complete:Currently listed on the Research page:60%(same as 2 weeks ago). According to my figures, progress seems to be progressing at a rate of about .3% per week, and my figures are now very close to in sync with the Research page. I now show 60.22% complete. For the time being I will leave my estimate at 1.26 billion work units and will adjust as necessary to return to sync with the Research page.
The average length of a WU is currently running about 4.16 hours, slightly shorter than the last time I posted, but continuing to trend steady at around the 4.1 to 4.2 hour mark consistently. The average length of a work unit this past week varied between 4.10 and 4.16 hours. This continues to be remarkably steady.
Still have not seen any of the batches from 122278 to 122402. The ovarian units started with 122403 as the lowest number.My latest batch number was 138061 which would give about 176 batches for the week. The batch count for last week was 195.
Production decreased this past week going from about 4.2million WU's to 3.57 million WU's completed. During this past week the time devoted to MCM1 was just slightly over an average of 240 years per day, down from the past week's 288.
Originally we had 17,500 batches plus 9000 more batches, plus 5000 more batches (all approximate) for a total of 31,500 batches. Now we have an estimated 4000 more batches for a total of 35,500 batches. As of today(November 12) we have processed 760,840,757 units. This would be about 60.4% of the known work units.
Based on the 30 day running average the current work units should last to about February 2020 (very close to my last estimate). When looking this far into the future the crystal ball gets very hazy. This not an end of project projection, just a projection of a probable end of the current (maybe) known work units. I am trying to calculate a couple of different ways to try to get some figures which converge to about the same. At any rate, there should be a couple of years left to crunch on this project.


Cheers

Thank you again Sgt. Joe!